The Odds of Life and Intelligence
If we re-ran Earth's clock, would life arise again? Would another civilization eventually evolve?
Astrobiology is faced with trying to contextualize our place in the Universe using just a single data point. But even a single data point contains information.
The key to unlocking it is a careful understanding of the selection biases at play and intricacies of Bayesian statistics. Today, we're thrilled to present to you our explainer video of a new research paper led by Prof David Kipping that provides a direct quantification of the odds of life and intelligence on Earth-like worlds, based on our own chronology.
Presented & Written by Prof. David Kipping.